You may find that a particular race is softer or stronger than your overall profile prediction, helping race selection. However, you canĬan get more granular results by clicking the RUN link under the Sim column to generate a race specific simulation. The projected win% and ROI is based on your overall profile for the race type (class, length, and fee group). You can change this by toggling the Paid and +ROI switches. Returned by managing your horses in the stable.īy default, the open races are limited to paid races where You may also edit which horses are active or limit the distances In order to use the open races feature, you must first add one or more horses to your Under the "Race" column, ZSIM provides a deep link directly to the race on ZED.RUN site, simplifying the registration process. You can also run pre-race simulations of an open race, even if only 8 of 12 gates are filled, to choose the softest field. ZSIM will import all open races and generate a race list along with each horse you may want to enter, based on your predicted ROI. OpenRaces - the open races analyzer combines the profile and race simulator data to help you find open races on the ZED.RUN platform.The race simulator sorts this out at a race-to-race granularity, enabling you to perform better race selection. For instance, if your profile predicts your ROI in C3 1000m $2.5 races to be +40%, there may be some specific races within this bucket where you may be predicted at 20% and others you may be predicted at 60%. Because of this, you can get more nuanced predictions. Race Simulator - the simulator is like the profile, but the simulation results only considers the 11 other horses in each race.Rather, it is the product of hundreds of thousands of Monte Carlo simulations predicting how your horse would have performed if it had entered every race over the last two weeks. Unlike stats that you may see on ZED.RUN or other secondary sites, the profile is NOT a compilation of your actual win loss records and profits. Horse Profile - the profile provides a bird’s eye view of a given horse and outlines its expected performance at every class, distance, and fee level.There are three key aspects of the ZSIM software, the horse profiler, race simulator, and the open races analyzer New documentation entry on using the custom race simulator to study Speed vs. New documentation entry on the ZSIM flame Icons: Predicting ZED Flames You may multi-select any number of filter combinations to view the combined totals. If the filters are all set to *, it will return all class, length, and fee levels. The actual paid race results, accessed from the icon on the profile page, now utilizes the profile filters. Only races you are already registered for will appear. A new filter for "Registered" has been added.The +ROI filter will now exclusively show -ROI races when toggled off.The Paid toggle will now exclusively show Free races when toggled off.Fixed bug with open races where it was only simming 11 horses for an open race.This should help clarify that even if a race has an open status, the horse may not be eligible to register. This appears when a given horse is already registered for a race within the same Paid or Free category. There is now a icon in the open races report. Use this to estimate your remaining stamina or exclude those that have already hit 12 races. This totals the number of races for each horse within the past 12 hours. There is now a "Fatigue" column and filter in the OpenRaces module. This will filter out any races where the number of registered horses than the selected value. There is now a "MinGates" filter in the OpenRaces module. This ranks horse by their simulated ROI in recent paid races and provides normalized speed, variance, and power ratings to assist in studying or comparing horses. I'm new here so correct me if I'm wrong.A Beta version of the Simboard has been released. Eg, my horse avg 30, all race avg 36, SD 2, then my horse is 3 SDs better than the rest which is very good in general terms. In terms of how to use it to benchmark, just take the difference between your horses avg and the all races avg then divide by standard deviation to find out how many standard deviations better/worse than the rest your horse is. In that case if you ran an 18 second race, it would be considered quite remarkable. However, say the SD is lower, as in there is less variance of values (eg, avg 20s, max 22s, min 18s). If you raced an 18 second race where those values were true, it wouldn't be that remarkable. So if race times were spread over a wide range of values, you would expect a high SD (eg, avg 20s, max 30s, min 10s). Standard deviation is a common way to measure how much variation there is in a set of values (in this case race times). As I understand it, it allows you to benchmark the average race times for your horse against the average for all races.
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